Den brasilianske demografisk bonus og muligheder for danske virksomheder.
den brasilianske demografisk bonus og hvor danske virksomheder kan drage fordel af det
The expansion of the Brazilian economy will be coupled with “productivity increases, specially in a scenario where growth is progressively limited by the effects of demographics on labour supply”.
The statement above is the conclusion from a recent study from Regis Bonelli and Julia Fontes, both researchers at the Brazilian Institute of Economics from GV University.
The study draws attention for at three important demographic factors in Brazil
- The Brazilian population, that will stop growing by 2040
- The reduction of the population in active age, people with 10 years or more
- The decrease of the economically active population
According to Bonelli and Julia the loss of demographic components for the composition of the GDP is clear at all levels. It important to highlight that the Brazilian demographic bonus will come to an end over the next years.
Bonnelli and Julia believe that the only way for Brazil to keep growing is by increasing the levels of productivity. However in order to have higher levels of productivity, it is also needed higher levels of education.
The study points out that the productivity levels in Brazil has been quite low in Brazil. Eventough the study avoids touching political issues to bring a resolution for the low productivity, Bonelli points out that one of the options would be to increase the investments in infrastructure.
Another important movement would be to increase the formalization of labour. Around 40% of the jobs of the industry have not been formalized yet. Bonelli points that when there is formalization of labour the productivity gains are outstanding.
Looking at the demographics, never in the history of Brazil the conditions have been so favourable to cut off the vicious cycle of poverty.During the first half of the XXI century, Brazil will have a population growing at decreasing rates, there will be an increase in the ammount of people at a working age and less economic dependency reasons, since there will be more women in the labour market.Plus, more men and women will have higher levels of education which therefore will contribute for higher levels of productivity.
The falling infant mortality rates combined with higher life expectancy means longer years living.
Opportunities within infrastructure, security,IT and Technology,education,healthcare etc are there. Now,it’s up to you to dare and go for it.I’m more than willing to be part of your growth.
Hope you have enjoyed this article.